Phoenix, AZ (October 29, 2024) – In a new statewide poll by Data Orbital, Arizona Republicans are leading in the Presidential and U.S. Senate races with one week remaining until the November 5th General Election. The survey, conducted from October 26th to October 28th, reached 550 likely voters via a mix of live callers and text-to-web methods, with a margin of error of ±4.26%.
In the Presidential race, former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Kamala Harris 49.7% to 41.9%, with Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 1.0% and Libertarian Chase Oliver at 0.7%. Undecided voters make up 6.8% of respondents.
The U.S. Senate race shows a close competition, with Republican Kari Lake leading Democrat Ruben Gallego 45.2% to 44.5%. Green Party candidate Eduardo Quintana holds 1.6%, while 8.6% remain undecided.
Pollster George Khalaf stated, “With early voting underway, Trump appears in a strong position to win Arizona, and Kari Lake has narrowed the gap with Ruben Gallego in the Senate contest. Ultimately, results will depend on voter turnout.”
The survey reached voters through a balanced approach: 33.3% of responses came from live landline calls, 33.3% from live cell phone calls, and 33.3% via text-to-web, with demographic weighting based on prior election data. Full results, including demographic breakdowns and cross-tabs, are available for public review.
